Pineto 2-1 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.77
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.45/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.13
+16% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gubbio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2026 Gubbio Gubbio 2-0 HT 1-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
20.12.2025 Pineto Pineto 1-0 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
14.02.2025 Gubbio Gubbio 2-1 HT 1-1 Pineto Pineto İTC
06.10.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-2 HT 1-2 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
07.01.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-2 HT 1-2 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
01.09.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
2-1
AWAY Gubbio
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto edged past Gubbio 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Pineto made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pineto had 46% of the ball to Gubbio's 54%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gubbio led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pineto and 1.50 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Gubbio?

Pineto 2-1 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pineto 38%, draw 28%, Gubbio 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pineto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pineto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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