Gubbio 2-0 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
0.90/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.19
-38% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Pineto
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Pineto Pineto 1-0 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
14.02.2025 Gubbio Gubbio 2-1 HT 1-1 Pineto Pineto İTC
06.10.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-2 HT 1-2 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
07.01.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-2 HT 1-2 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
01.09.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 0-0 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
2-0
AWAY Pineto
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio saw off Pineto 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gubbio as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Gubbio had 42% of the ball to Pineto's 58%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gubbio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Gubbio and 1.00 for Pineto.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Pineto?

Gubbio 2-0 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 46%, draw 27%, Pineto 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gubbio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gubbio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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