Ternana 1-3 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.69/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.70
+17% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +82%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Pianese
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Pianese Pianese 0-0 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTC
23.04.2025 Ternana Ternana 2-0 HT 0-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
07.12.2024 Pianese Pianese 1-3 HT 0-2 Ternana Ternana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
1-3
AWAY Pianese
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese got the better of Ternana 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ternana at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ternana had 51% of the ball to Pianese's 49%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ternana had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ternana and 0.33 for Pianese.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Pianese?

Ternana 1-3 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ternana 49%, draw 28%, Pianese 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ternana), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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