Arezzo 3-1 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 32% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-11.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.50/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.64
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sassari Torres
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2025 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-1 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
29.10.2025 Arezzo Arezzo 2-0 HT 1-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTCK
16.02.2025 Arezzo Arezzo 0-1 HT 0-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
06.10.2024 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-2 HT 0-2 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
15.04.2024 Arezzo Arezzo 1-1 HT 1-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
10.12.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 3-2 HT 2-1 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
3-1
AWAY Sassari Torres
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo saw off Sassari Torres 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arezzo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arezzo had 62% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 38%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arezzo and 1.00 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Sassari Torres?

Arezzo 3-1 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 53%, draw 24%, Sassari Torres 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
26 Apr 2026
15:30 Forli vs Perugia Analysis →
15:30 Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese Analysis →
15:30 Campobasso vs Ascoli Analysis →
15:30 Gubbio vs Pineto Analysis →
15:30 Nuova Monterosi vs Athletic Carpi Analysis →
15:30 Ternana vs Pianese Analysis →