Nuova Monterosi 2-3 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
8%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.84/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.62
-33% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nuova Monterosi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Athletic Carpi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.12.2025 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 1-1 HT 1-1 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nuova Monterosi
2-3
AWAY Athletic Carpi
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nuova Monterosi vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi squeezed past Nuova Monterosi 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Athletic Carpi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nuova Monterosi had 63% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 37%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Nuova Monterosi vs Athletic Carpi?

Nuova Monterosi 2-3 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nuova Monterosi vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nuova Monterosi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nuova Monterosi 39%, draw 28%, Athletic Carpi 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nuova Monterosi), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nuova Monterosi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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