Vis Pesaro 2-3 Sambenedettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sambenedettese EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sambenedettese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2025 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 0-2 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
16.08.2025 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 2-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTCK
14.03.2021 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-3 HT 1-3 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese İTC
14.11.2020 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 2-0 HT 2-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
18.01.2020 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese 0-1 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
08.09.2019 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-1 HT 1-1 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
2-3
AWAY Sambenedettese
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sambenedettese edged past Vis Pesaro 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sambenedettese as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 53% of the ball to Sambenedettese's 47%, shots finished 10-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vis Pesaro and 1.33 for Sambenedettese.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?

Vis Pesaro 2-3 Sambenedettese in the Italy - Serie C on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Sambenedettese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sambenedettese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 32%, draw 22%, Sambenedettese 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sambenedettese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sambenedettese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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