Campobasso 1-0 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
9.57
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
64%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.53
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.14
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 33% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
8%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.8pp
64%
Away Win
75%
-11.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.0pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Campobasso EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 79%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.49/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.69/0.69
-36% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +4%
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
210 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Campobasso
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Ascoli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2025 Ascoli Ascoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Campobasso Campobasso İTC
11.03.2025 Campobasso Campobasso 2-0 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
30.10.2024 Ascoli Ascoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Campobasso Campobasso İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Campobasso
1-0
AWAY Ascoli
27% Ball Possession 73%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Campobasso vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso nicked a narrow win over Ascoli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Ascoli carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Campobasso had 27% of the ball to Ascoli's 73%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Campobasso had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Campobasso and 0.33 for Ascoli.

What was the final score of Campobasso vs Ascoli?

Campobasso 1-0 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Campobasso vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Campobasso 13%, draw 23%, Ascoli 64%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ascoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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