Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 45%
+23% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -22%
1.01/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.09
-15% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
16.4 Crosses 16.5
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
318 Passes 287
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
04.05.2025 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
08.09.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
27.02.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-2 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
30.11.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
26.11.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.34 xG 1.57
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
240 Passes 297
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Cali couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 45% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 55%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.34 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.00 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?

Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 36%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cali 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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