Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
0.85/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.86
-12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
16.1 Crosses 20.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.52 xG 1.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
263 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
27.11.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
27.09.2025 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
14.04.2025 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 4-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
10.11.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.62 xG 1.99
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
352 Passes 203
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Bucaramanga
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fortaleza CEIF edged past Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1 in the Colombia - Primera on 3 May 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 60% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 40%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.62 to 1.99.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga lead the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.80 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 35%, draw 31%, Atletico Bucaramanga 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
3 May 2026
00:00 Jaguares De Cordoba vs Cucuta Deportivo Analysis →
23:30 Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas Analysis →
23:30 Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali Analysis →
23:30 Alianza Petrolera vs Millonarios Analysis →
23:30 Santa Fe vs La Equidad Analysis →