Santa Fe 3-1 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.19/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.17
-7% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
20.6 Crosses 13.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
3W-0D-3L
AWAY La Equidad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 0.74
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
294 Passes 196
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
11.04.2025 La Equidad La Equidad 2-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
28.07.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
27.05.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
13.05.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
31.01.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
3-1
AWAY La Equidad
2.62 xG 0.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
266 Passes 208
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe beat La Equidad 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Fe had 53% of the ball to La Equidad's 47%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 2.62 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santa Fe and 0.67 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs La Equidad?

Santa Fe 3-1 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 45%, draw 32%, La Equidad 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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