Alianza Petrolera 2-2 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 51%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -21%
1.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.72
-3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
241 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.2 Crosses 18.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Millonarios
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
222 Passes 395
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-0 HT 2-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
30.03.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
29.07.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
01.02.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
06.10.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-2 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOLK
29.09.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2-2
AWAY Millonarios
1.44 xG 2.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
238 Passes 281
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 21
6 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Alianza Petrolera vs Millonarios
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Alianza Petrolera and Millonarios shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Colombia - Primera on 3 May 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 44% of the ball to Millonarios's 56%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 1.44 to 2.67.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 1.33 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Millonarios?

Alianza Petrolera 2-2 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 30%, draw 27%, Millonarios 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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