Riga FC vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Riga FC v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
Riga FC vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Riga FC 1-0 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
Riga FC squeezed past Liepaja 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Riga FC had 62% of the ball to Liepaja's 38%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.74 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Riga FC and 1.00 for Liepaja.
What was the final score of Riga FC vs Liepaja?
Riga FC 1-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 67%, draw 19%, Liepaja 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.