FK Panevezys 2-1 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 57%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -16%
1.43/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.00
+48% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2026 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-1 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
08.11.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 3-1 HT 2-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
31.08.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
29.06.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-4 HT 2-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
25.04.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 HT 2-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
03.11.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-4 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys edged past Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FK Panevezys and 2.50 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FK Panevezys 2-1 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 23%, draw 26%, Zalgiris Vilnius 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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