Port Vale 0-3 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.91
Over
44%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.72
No
56%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
33%
3.51
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
17%
3.4
6+
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.51 — our 33% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Vale The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers The Market 53%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.10 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.86
1.47 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.51
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Bad
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
236 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Vale
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 Passes 347
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
05.12.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İNTK
30.09.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
25.02.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
13.08.2022 Port Vale Port Vale 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
31.08.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-2 Port Vale Port Vale İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Port Vale
0-3
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Port Vale vs Bolton Wanderers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bolton Wanderers cruised past Port Vale 3-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bolton Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals card split: no to both teams scoring (56%) came in, under 2.5 goals (56%) didn't.

Under the surface, Port Vale had 29% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 71%, shots finished 6-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Port Vale and 1.67 for Bolton Wanderers.

Port Vale vs Bolton Wanderers Result & Final Score

Port Vale 0-3 Bolton Wanderers in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Port Vale vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 36%, draw 25%, Bolton Wanderers 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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