Sporting Gijon 2-1 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 34% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.01/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.82
-26% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +68%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Eibar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 1.39
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
297 Passes 406
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
20.12.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
20.05.2023 Eibar Eibar 2-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
17.10.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
05.02.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
19.09.2021 Eibar Eibar 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
2-1
AWAY Eibar
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon nicked a narrow win over Eibar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 57% of the ball to Eibar's 43%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.17 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Eibar?

Sporting Gijon 2-1 Eibar in the Friendlies on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 32%, draw 27%, Eibar 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
3 Aug 2024
12:00 Burgos vs Mallorca Analysis →
13:00 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Newcastle Analysis →
14:00 Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda Analysis →
14:00 Bayern Münih vs Tottenham Analysis →
14:30 Hoffenheim vs Ipswich Town Analysis →
15:00 Sheffield Wednesday vs Leganes Analysis →