Guabira 3-0 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +17%
1.49/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.79
+15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
14.5 Crosses 12.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
235 Passes 261
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.07.2025 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-2 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLPLK
28.03.2025 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 4-2 HT 2-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
30.11.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
04.08.2024 Guabira Guabira 4-2 HT 1-2 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
31.03.2024 Guabira Guabira 3-1 HT 1-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
21.02.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
3-0
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.66 xG 0.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 1
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
370 Passes 239
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira swept aside Universitario de Vinto 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guabira as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guabira had 58% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 42%, shots finished 12-1, expected goals 1.66 to 0.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario de Vinto led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Guabira and 1.83 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Universitario de Vinto?

Guabira 3-0 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guabira 43%, draw 30%, Universitario de Vinto 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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