Motagua 0-2 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
53%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
52%
Away Win
45%
+7.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 49%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -21%
0.89/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.78
-13% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
218 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.04.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
16.02.2025 Motagua Motagua 0-2 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
23.12.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua HON
20.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
27.10.2024 Motagua Motagua 1-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
19.08.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia got the better of Motagua 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Motagua and 1.00 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Motagua 0-2 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Motagua 25%, draw 22%, CD Olimpia 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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