Longford Town 5-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2026

📅03/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
2.15/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.91
+12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
393 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Finn Harps
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.05.2026 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-2 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
28.03.2026 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
05.09.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
04.07.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
17.05.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
04.04.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town cruised past Finn Harps 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Longford Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Longford Town and 0.83 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Finn Harps?

Longford Town 5-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 03/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Longford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 54%, draw 24%, Finn Harps 23%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Longford Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Longford Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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