Finn Harps 2-2 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.68
2-3 Goals
35%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
18.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 35% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.31/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.26
-9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Longford Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2026 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
05.09.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
04.07.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
17.05.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
04.04.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.09.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
2-2
AWAY Longford Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps and Longford Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Finn Harps at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Finn Harps had 51% of the ball to Longford Town's 49%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Finn Harps and 0.33 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Longford Town?

Finn Harps 2-2 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 49%, draw 25%, Longford Town 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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