Kerry 2-2 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 27% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -8%
1.22/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.31
-11% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
27.03.2026 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-1 Kerry İR1
17.10.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 5-1 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
20.06.2025 Kerry 2-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
25.04.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 4-2 HT 2-0 Kerry İR1
07.03.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
20.09.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry and Bray Wanderers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kerry and 2.50 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Kerry 2-2 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kerry 34%, draw 27%, Bray Wanderers 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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