Valur vs Stjarnan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valur v Stjarnan — Team-Based Signals
Valur vs Stjarnan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Valur 2-3 Stjarnan — Actual Match Statistics
Stjarnan nicked a narrow win over Valur 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Stjarnan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 17-25, expected goals 1.14 to 1.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Valur and 2.00 for Stjarnan.
What was the final score of Valur vs Stjarnan?
Valur 2-3 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 03/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valur vs Stjarnan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valur 39%, draw 27%, Stjarnan 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur) went the other way.