Valur vs Stjarnan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valur v Stjarnan — Team-Based Signals
Valur vs Stjarnan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Stjarnan
İZL
Valur 1-2 Stjarnan — Actual Match Statistics
Stjarnan nicked a narrow win over Valur 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Valur at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (65%) came in.
On the day, Valur had 54% of the ball to Stjarnan's 46%, shots finished 16-25, expected goals 1.61 to 1.99.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Valur and 1.33 for Stjarnan.
What was the final score of Valur vs Stjarnan?
Valur 1-2 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valur vs Stjarnan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Valur 52%, draw 23%, Stjarnan 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur) went the other way.