KA Akureyri 4-1 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.89/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.17
-4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
25.0 Crosses 20.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Vestri
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.67 xG 0.98
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 Passes 283
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.06.2025 Vestri Vestri 1-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
19.10.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 2-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
14.07.2024 Vestri Vestri 0-2 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
15.05.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-1 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZK
21.04.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
4-1
AWAY Vestri
3.38 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
335 Passes 360
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
39 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri ran out comfortable winners over Vestri 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 48% of the ball to Vestri's 52%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 3.38 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for KA Akureyri and 0.80 for Vestri.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Vestri?

KA Akureyri 4-1 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 57%, draw 25%, Vestri 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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