Colorado Rapids 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Oct 2024

Colorado Rapids
1-3 HT 1-0
Los Angeles Galaxy
📅03/10/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
20%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.14
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.32
No
29%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.01
2-3 Goals
34%
2.31
4-5 Goals
36%
2.39
6+ Goals
12%
4.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
3.12
1/2
3%
21.85
1/X
8%
12.25
X/1
10%
6.06
X/2
6%
6.41
X/X
11%
6.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.05
2/2
11%
3.37
2/X
11%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
40%
+9.5pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.5pp
21%
Away Win
36%
-16.0pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.9pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.9pp
71%
BTTS Yes
72%
-0.5pp
29%
BTTS No
28%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Colorado Rapids v Los Angeles Galaxy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.53/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.54
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
19.3 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
365 Passes 438
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.07.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-2 HT 3-2 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
25.06.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
07.05.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-3 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
18.09.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-1 HT 3-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
17.07.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 2-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
11.09.2021 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD

Colorado Rapids 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
1-3
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
0.85 xG 2.08
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
356 Passes 513
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy saw off Colorado Rapids 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Rapids at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (71%) came in.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 43% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 57%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.85 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colorado Rapids and 1.50 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Colorado Rapids 1-3 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 50%, draw 30%, Los Angeles Galaxy 21%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Colorado Rapids) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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