Houston Dynamo vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Houston Dynamo v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals
Houston Dynamo vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Houston Dynamo
ABD
3-1
HT 1-0
New England Revolution
ABD
2-1
HT 0-1
Houston Dynamo
ABD
0-2
HT 0-1
New England Revolution
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Houston Dynamo
ABD
3-3
HT 1-1
New England Revolution
ABD
Houston Dynamo 2-1 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics
Houston Dynamo squeezed past New England Revolution 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Houston Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Houston Dynamo had 54% of the ball to New England Revolution's 46%, shots finished 22-17, expected goals 2.64 to 2.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Houston Dynamo and 2.17 for New England Revolution.
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs New England Revolution?
Houston Dynamo 2-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs New England Revolution?
Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 53%, draw 23%, New England Revolution 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.