Rotherham United 2-1 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 Dec 2024

📅03/12/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.96
6+ Goals
10%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.75
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
10%
5.05
X/2
13%
5.64
X/X
13%
3.87
2/1
10%
34.0
2/2
17%
4.37
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +21%
1.67/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.06
+6% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
270 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 69%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
30.2 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lincoln City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.66 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
213 Passes 227
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.07.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-3 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United HAZ
15.03.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 2-1 HT 2-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
14.09.2021 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 0-1 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
07.02.2020 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
12.11.2019 Lincoln City Lincoln City 3-0 HT 2-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İNTK
10.08.2019 Rotherham United Rotherham United 0-2 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
2-1
AWAY Lincoln City
0.99 xG 1.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
153 Passes 304
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United squeezed past Lincoln City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Rotherham United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rotherham United had 39% of the ball to Lincoln City's 61%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.99 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rotherham United and 1.17 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Lincoln City?

Rotherham United 2-1 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 03/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 37%, draw 28%, Lincoln City 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotherham United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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