AC Fanfulla 1874 1-0 Mezzolara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
45%
4-5
19%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Fanfulla 1874 The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mezzolara The Market 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+62% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
273 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 544 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH AC Fanfulla 1874 vs Mezzolara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Fanfulla 1874 edged past Mezzolara 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 34% — and on the day AC Fanfulla 1874 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

What was the final score of AC Fanfulla 1874 vs Mezzolara?

AC Fanfulla 1874 1-0 Mezzolara in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Fanfulla 1874 vs Mezzolara?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Fanfulla 1874 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AC Fanfulla 1874 37%, draw 30%, Mezzolara 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Fanfulla 1874), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AC Fanfulla 1874) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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