04/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Chions vs US Adriese Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
34%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
14%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
35%
Home Win
57%
31%
Draw
22%
33%
Away Win
21%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chions v US Adriese — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chions
The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
US Adriese
The Market 25%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+60% /
+60%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+103%
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
3
356 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
320 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Chions vs US Adriese Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Chions
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
US Adriese
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Chions vs US Adriese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chions ran out comfortable winners over US Adriese 3-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Chions made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Chions vs US Adriese?
Chions 3-0 US Adriese in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chions vs US Adriese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chions win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chions 35%, draw 31%, US Adriese 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chions), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Chions)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
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4 Feb 2024