Caldiero Terme 0-1 Club Milano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
36%
3.8
Away
22%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.3pp
36%
Draw
23%
+12.6pp
22%
Away Win
32%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caldiero Terme The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Milano The Market 36%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -59%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caldiero Terme
0-1
AWAY Club Milano
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Caldiero Terme vs Club Milano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Milano nicked a narrow win over Caldiero Terme 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Caldiero Terme at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Caldiero Terme had 60% of the ball to Club Milano's 40%, shots finished 19-13.

What was the final score of Caldiero Terme vs Club Milano?

Caldiero Terme 0-1 Club Milano in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caldiero Terme vs Club Milano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caldiero Terme win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Caldiero Terme 42%, draw 36%, Club Milano 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Caldiero Terme), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caldiero Terme) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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