04/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Chisola vs Voghera Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
16%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
48%
29%
Draw
26%
29%
Away Win
25%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chisola v Voghera — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chisola
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Voghera
The Market 29%
+13% /
+13%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+70%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
354 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
272 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chisola vs Voghera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chisola squeezed past Voghera 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Chisola as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Chisola vs Voghera?
Chisola 2-1 Voghera in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chisola vs Voghera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chisola win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chisola 42%, draw 29%, Voghera 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chisola), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Chisola)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
4 Feb 2024