Campobasso 2-1 Roma City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.78
Draw
26%
5.15
Away
51%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over Pick
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
40%
4-5
34%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
22%
Home Win
10%
+12.5pp
26%
Draw
16%
+10.0pp
51%
Away Win
74%
-22.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Campobasso The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma City The Market 78%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
183 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Campobasso
2-1
AWAY Roma City
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Campobasso vs Roma City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso squeezed past Roma City 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Roma City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Campobasso had 45% of the ball to Roma City's 55%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Campobasso vs Roma City?

Campobasso 2-1 Roma City in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Campobasso vs Roma City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Campobasso 22%, draw 26%, Roma City 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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