Gavorrano 0-2 Sansepolcro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
35%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
23%
+12.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.1pp
35%
Away Win
53%
-18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gavorrano The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sansepolcro The Market 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gavorrano
0-2
AWAY Sansepolcro
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gavorrano vs Sansepolcro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sansepolcro got the better of Gavorrano 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Sansepolcro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Gavorrano had 54% of the ball to Sansepolcro's 46%, shots finished 5-15.

What was the final score of Gavorrano vs Sansepolcro?

Gavorrano 0-2 Sansepolcro in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gavorrano vs Sansepolcro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gavorrano win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gavorrano 35%, draw 30%, Sansepolcro 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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