Derthona 1908 1-4 Lavagnese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
26%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derthona 1908 The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lavagnese The Market 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derthona 1908
1-4
AWAY Lavagnese
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Derthona 1908 vs Lavagnese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lavagnese swept aside Derthona 1908 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 22% / 37% — and on the day Lavagnese made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Derthona 1908 had 58% of the ball to Lavagnese's 42%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Derthona 1908 vs Lavagnese?

Derthona 1908 1-4 Lavagnese in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derthona 1908 vs Lavagnese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derthona 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Derthona 1908 40%, draw 22%, Lavagnese 37%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Derthona 1908) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTD More Italy - Serie D
4 Feb 2024
16:30 Chions vs US Adriese Analysis →
16:30 PDHAE vs Alcione Analysis →
16:30 Gavorrano vs Sansepolcro Analysis →
16:30 AC Fanfulla 1874 vs Mezzolara Analysis →
16:30 Clodiense vs Este Analysis →
16:30 Bassano Virtus vs Dolomiti Bellunesi Analysis →