Vibonese 1-0 Akragas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
36%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
40%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
51%
-15.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
36%
Away Win
24%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vibonese The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Akragas The Market 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vibonese
1-0
AWAY Akragas
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Vibonese vs Akragas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vibonese squeezed past Akragas 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Vibonese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vibonese had 51% of the ball to Akragas's 49%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of Vibonese vs Akragas?

Vibonese 1-0 Akragas in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vibonese vs Akragas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Akragas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Vibonese 35%, draw 29%, Akragas 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Akragas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akragas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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