Atletico Castegnato 1-1 Cjarlins Muzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
Over Pick
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
39%
4-5
21%
6+
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Castegnato The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cjarlins Muzane The Market 42%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Atletico Castegnato vs Cjarlins Muzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Castegnato and Cjarlins Muzane couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cjarlins Muzane at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

What was the final score of Atletico Castegnato vs Cjarlins Muzane?

Atletico Castegnato 1-1 Cjarlins Muzane in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Castegnato vs Cjarlins Muzane?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cjarlins Muzane win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Castegnato 35%, draw 22%, Cjarlins Muzane 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cjarlins Muzane), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cjarlins Muzane) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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