Castellanzese vs Caravaggio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Castellanzese v Caravaggio — Team-Based Signals
Castellanzese 1-1 Caravaggio — Actual Match Statistics
Castellanzese and Caravaggio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Castellanzese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Castellanzese had 44% of the ball to Caravaggio's 56%, shots finished 15-13.
What was the final score of Castellanzese vs Caravaggio?
Castellanzese 1-1 Caravaggio in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Castellanzese vs Caravaggio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Castellanzese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Castellanzese 42%, draw 25%, Caravaggio 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Castellanzese) went the other way.