Ligorna 2-3 Asti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

Ligorna
2-3 HT 2-3
Asti
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
38%
3.28
Away
21%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
41%
4-5
15%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
38%
Draw
27%
+10.5pp
21%
Away Win
27%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ligorna The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Asti The Market 31%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ligorna vs Asti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asti edged past Ligorna 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 38% / 21% — and on the day Asti made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ligorna vs Asti?

Ligorna 2-3 Asti in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ligorna vs Asti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ligorna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ligorna 41%, draw 38%, Asti 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ligorna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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