Prato vs Progresso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Prato v Progresso — Team-Based Signals
Prato 1-0 Progresso — Actual Match Statistics
Prato squeezed past Progresso 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Prato made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Prato had 52% of the ball to Progresso's 48%, shots finished 6-7.
What was the final score of Prato vs Progresso?
Prato 1-0 Progresso in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Prato vs Progresso?
Before kick-off our model rated an Progresso win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Prato 34%, draw 28%, Progresso 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.