Prato vs Progresso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Prato 1-0 Progresso — Actual Match Statistics
Prato shaded a tight game against Progresso 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Prato as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Prato had 52% of the ball to Progresso's 48%, shots finished 6-7.
Prato vs Progresso Result & Final Score
Prato 1 - 0 Progresso in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Prato vs Progresso Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Prato win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Prato 41%, draw 30%, Progresso 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prato) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.