Sporting Trestina 2-0 San Donato Tavarnelle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Trestina The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY San Donato Tavarnelle The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sporting Trestina vs San Donato Tavarnelle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Trestina beat San Donato Tavarnelle 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Trestina as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Sporting Trestina vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

Sporting Trestina 2-0 San Donato Tavarnelle in the Italy - Serie D on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Trestina vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Trestina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sporting Trestina 44%, draw 25%, San Donato Tavarnelle 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Trestina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Trestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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