Panathinaikos 0-1 PAOK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 4 Feb 2026

📅04/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.65
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
16%
6.16
X/2
12%
5.23
X/X
15%
3.91
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.6
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY PAOK EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.91/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.92
-1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY PAOK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 1.01
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 Passes 350
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2025 PAOK PAOK 2-0 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
09.11.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 2-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
27.04.2025 PAOK PAOK 2-1 HT 1-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
13.04.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 3-1 HT 2-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
05.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-1 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
15.09.2024 PAOK PAOK 0-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
0-1
AWAY PAOK
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs PAOK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK nicked a narrow win over Panathinaikos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day PAOK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 51% of the ball to PAOK's 49%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.17 for PAOK.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs PAOK?

Panathinaikos 0-1 PAOK in the Greece - Cup on 04/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs PAOK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 36%, draw 30%, PAOK 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Panathinaikos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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