Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos Laguna v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Santos Laguna
MEK
3-2
HT 2-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
Santos Laguna 1-2 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Santos Laguna 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Santos Laguna had 47% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 53%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.54 to 1.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.83 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
Santos Laguna 1-2 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 17%, draw 17%, Cruz Azul 66%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.