Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico San Luis v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-0
Mazatlan
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Mazatlan
MEK
Atletico San Luis 4-1 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico San Luis swept aside Mazatlan 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico San Luis as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Atletico San Luis had 57% of the ball to Mazatlan's 43%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.27 to 0.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.33 for Mazatlan.
What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlan?
Atletico San Luis 4-1 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Mazatlan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 54%, draw 23%, Mazatlan 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico San Luis), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.