Pachuca vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Necaxa
MEK
Pachuca 2-1 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca squeezed past Necaxa 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Pachuca had 44% of the ball to Necaxa's 56%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.27 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Pachuca and 1.33 for Necaxa.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Necaxa?
Pachuca 2-1 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Necaxa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 50%, draw 25%, Necaxa 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.