Ards FC 0-1 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Apr 2026

📅04/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.64
6+ Goals
12%
6.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.5pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.6pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -16%
2.03/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.10
+3% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dundela
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
14.03.2026 Dundela Dundela 1-1 HT 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
20.12.2025 Dundela Dundela 1-4 HT 0-2 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
29.08.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.04.2025 Dundela Dundela 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
31.12.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 1-3 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
19.10.2024 Dundela Dundela 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundela nicked a narrow win over Ards FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ards FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundela led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ards FC and 1.17 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Dundela?

Ards FC 0-1 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 53%, draw 28%, Dundela 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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