Celje vs Maribor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celje v Maribor — Team-Based Signals
Celje vs Maribor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Celje 1-0 Maribor — Actual Match Statistics
Celje squeezed past Maribor 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Celje had 37% of the ball to Maribor's 63%, shots finished 11-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Celje and 1.17 for Maribor.
What was the final score of Celje vs Maribor?
Celje 1-0 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 04/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celje vs Maribor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Celje 50%, draw 24%, Maribor 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.