Municipal Liberia 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 4 May 2026

📅04/05/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
25%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 45%
-18% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
0.99/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.28
-16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2026 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
30.03.2026 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 5-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTK
26.03.2026 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTK
16.02.2026 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
01.12.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 2-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
18.08.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia and Deportivo Saprissa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Municipal Liberia and 2.17 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Municipal Liberia 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 04/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 34%, draw 27%, Deportivo Saprissa 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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