Deportivo Saprissa 5-1 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 30 Mar 2026

📅30/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
54%
+5.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +67% / +67%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-31% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Saprissa
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.03.2026 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTK
16.02.2026 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
01.12.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 2-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
18.08.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
17.03.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
02.02.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-3 HT 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
POST-MATCH Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Saprissa cruised past Municipal Liberia 5-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Saprissa as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.17 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Deportivo Saprissa 5-1 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Cup on 30/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 60%, draw 20%, Municipal Liberia 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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