Municipal Liberia 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Cup, 26 Mar 2026

📅26/03/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.1pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa EU Bookmakers 40%
+55% / +55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+32% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Saprissa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2026 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
01.12.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 3-1 HT 2-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
18.08.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
17.03.2025 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
02.02.2025 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 2-3 HT 1-2 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
29.11.2024 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa KOSTA
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia and Deportivo Saprissa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.83 for Deportivo Saprissa.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Municipal Liberia 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa in the Costa Rica - Cup on 26/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 35%, draw 25%, Deportivo Saprissa 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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