Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Saprissa v Municipal Liberia — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Saprissa 1-2 Municipal Liberia — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal Liberia nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Deportivo Saprissa carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Deportivo Saprissa had 67% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 33%, shots finished 34-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Saprissa had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.00 for Municipal Liberia.
What was the final score of Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?
Deportivo Saprissa 1-2 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Saprissa win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Saprissa 66%, draw 20%, Municipal Liberia 14%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Saprissa), BTTS No went the other way.