Paide Linnameeskond 0-3 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 4 Jul 2025

📅04/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 53%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.99/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.40
-22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -30%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 2-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
23.04.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.11.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
29.05.2024 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
25.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 4-2 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
01.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 1-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
0-3
AWAY FC Levadia
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia swept aside Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 44% of the ball to FC Levadia's 56%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.50 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia?

Paide Linnameeskond 0-3 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 04/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 29%, draw 28%, FC Levadia 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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